Bitcoin Pullback Looms on Fed Uncertainty and Bearish Signal

Introduction to Bitcoin’s Current Market Outlook

A potential Bitcoin pullback is gaining attention as market indicators suggest a pause in the recent rally, prompting traders to reassess their positions.

Technical Indicators Pointing to a Bitcoin Pullback

Rising RSI Suggests Overbought Conditions

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on Bitcoin’s daily chart has climbed above 70, signaling overbought conditions. This often precedes a Bitcoin as the market may need time to cool off after a sharp upward move.

Bearish Divergence on MACD

A bearish divergence has formed on the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), where the price hits higher highs while the MACD line shows lower highs. This technical pattern is a common precursor to a Bitcoin pullback.

Bitcoin 4-hour chart showing bearish pinbar with high volume
The pinbar candle formed near resistance shows signs of a possible bearish reversal backed by volume

On-Chain Data Supporting a Bitcoin Pullback

Increase in Profit-Taking Activity

On-chain analytics reveal a spike in profit-taking, with long-term holders selling off portions of their Bitcoin holdings. This behavior typically triggers a Bitcoin pullback as early investors cash out gains.

Exchange Inflows on the Rise

Data from Glassnode indicates a notable increase in Bitcoin inflows to exchanges, a sign that holders are preparing to sell. Such movements often correlate with an impending Bitcoin Price Faces Downside Risk.

Chart showing shift in long/short ratio across major CEXs
The long-to-short ratio hints at increasing short exposure by whales

External Factors Influencing Bitcoin Pullback

Upcoming U.S. Inflation Report

The upcoming U.S. inflation report, due this week, could impact Bitcoin’s trajectory. Higher-than-expected inflation might trigger a Bitcoin , as investors shift away from risk assets amid economic uncertainty.

Geopolitical Tensions Adding Pressure

Ongoing geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe are adding downward pressure on crypto markets. This external factor could exacerbate a Bitcoin pullback if risk-off sentiment intensifies.

Potential Price Targets for Bitcoin Pullback

Immediate Support at $95,000

Should a Bitcoin pullback occur, the first support level to watch is around $95,000, based on recent consolidation zones. This area may attract buying interest to stabilize the price.

Bitcoin chart highlighting potential pullback zone
The $93K–94K area could serve as the next short-term support zone.

Deeper Correction to $90,000 Possible

A more significant Bitcoin Price Faces Downside Risk could push prices toward $90,000, aligning with the 50-day moving average and a psychological support level, where a rebound might begin.

Discover more: Bitcoin’s future in 2025: growth potential and key challenges

Conclusion: Preparing for a Bitcoin Pullback

With technical overbought signals, increased selling pressure from on-chain data, and external economic factors, a Bitcoin Price Faces Downside Risk appears likely in the near term. Traders should monitor key support levels at $95,000 and $90,000, while considering risk management strategies like stop-loss orders to navigate potential volatility.